Virginia

The rating, opened up

Adjusted scoring margin: +11.8 points per game against an average opponent, adjusted for schedule and site and capped so blowouts do not run it up, across 8 games.

Results value: -0.14. Wins weighted by opponent quality and site, with road wins worth more and bad losses punished hardest.

Preseason start: No. 18 in the final 2025 FBS rating, blended with the preseason polls.

How the whole rating works: methodology.

Beyond the rating

Schedule, results, home stadium, standings, and travel for visiting fans: Virginia at bracketprojections.com →